Tampa, FL Weather

75°F

Partly Cloudy

Data: NOAA/National Weather Service. Forecast updated Oct 16, 2026, 7:01 AM UTC. Discussion issued Oct 16, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC.

Air Quality Index: 21 (Good)

SPC Convective Outlook: Thunderstorm Risk

Will it hit me? Next 2 hours in Tampa

No rain expected in the next 2 hours.

  1. · 2% · Partly Cloudy
  2. · 3% · Partly Cloudy
  3. · 3% · Mostly Sunny

No storms on track toward Tampa right now.

Hourly NWS forecast and radar storm motion. Times are local. Not an official warning; follow NWS.

Share: storm card image · live radar

Local discussion

  • Expect scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms from Friday afternoon into Saturday.
  • Hazardous marine conditions are likely over the eastern Gulf waters this weekend and into next week.
  • A cooler and drier air mass will move in by Sunday, bringing below-average temperatures.

Hazards

  • Wind: Strong north to northeast winds may reach advisory levels, with potential gale force winds. (Saturday into next week; eastern Gulf waters)

Tampa, FL Climate Overview

Tampa, Florida, is characterized by a humid subtropical climate, marked by hot, humid summers and mild, dry winters. This climate classification is typical for areas near large bodies of water, like the Gulf of Mexico, which influences Tampa’s weather patterns. The proximity to the Gulf moderates temperatures, preventing extreme cold and leading to warm conditions year-round.

During the summer months, from June to September, Tampa experiences average high temperatures in the low 90s°F, with lows around the mid-70s°F. Winter, spanning December through February, sees average highs in the low 70s°F, with nighttime lows hovering in the low 50s°F. Spring and fall serve as transitional periods with gradually warming or cooling temperatures, respectively.

Tampa receives an annual average rainfall of about 46 inches, with the majority occurring during the summer months due to frequent afternoon thunderstorms. The wettest months are typically July and August, while the driest months are November and April. Snowfall is virtually nonexistent in Tampa, as temperatures rarely drop to freezing levels.

The city is at risk of tropical storms and hurricanes, particularly from June to November during the Atlantic hurricane season. While tornadoes are not as common as in other parts of the United States, they can occur, especially during severe weather outbreaks associated with tropical systems. Tampa’s low elevation and coastal location make it susceptible to storm surge and flooding during significant weather events.

Tampa is situated at sea level on the western coast of Florida, bordered by Tampa Bay. This geographic context contributes to its warm climate and makes it vulnerable to sea level rise and flooding, especially during hurricanes and heavy rain events. The presence of the bay and Gulf of Mexico plays a crucial role in moderating temperatures and contributing to the area's high humidity.